Time Series Analysis of Drought Indices for Monitoring Desertification and Land Degradation
Abstract
The goal of research is estimation of meteorological drought indices and impact in desertification and Land Degradation. The climatic data for time series from 1990-2021 (31 years) were used. The located at coordinate 3452'29.386"N and 4326'15.703" E, which involve on the precipitation, temprature, humidity and wind speedect, depending on aims of paper. The precipitation-based drought indices (SPI, RDI, PNI, RAI, and ZSI) were calculated and analysis correlation and regression coefficient between its. The result show that all indices was severe drought for the period occurred from 1990-1993 and 1998- 2000, as well as, the highest humid in 2015 to 2018 years (15 to17 year less than zero and 14-16 years above zero according to index), Also, that drought was continuous for years 2020, 2021 and to now. Result indication to positive linear relationship between the SPI and RDI, RAI, ZSI,PNI and PPA is range (R2 = 0.99, 0.96, 0.95, 0.95 and 0.95). While, the correlation relationship between the SPI and another indices was strongly positive (R2 > 0.97).
