Developments of the Iranian Nuclear Crisis and its impact on Iraq
Abstract
The research aims to analyze the options related to the developments of the crisis of the Iranian nuclear program and the extent of its impact on Iraq, as it is the most affected arena linked to the nature of the US-Iranian relations and their tendency towards consensus or conflict. The study concluded that the developments may move towards one of three possibilities, each of which has a different impact on all levels. These possibilities fluctuate between maintaining the status quo or reaching a comprehensive and final agreement, and the last and most dangerous is that the negotiations have a dead end and the inability to reach an agreement. There is no doubt that the agreement will have direct effects at the local, regional, and international levels, as reviving the nuclear agreement can lead to the restoration of security and stability throughout the Middle East region, especially Iraq, in addition to reducing pressure on Iran and supplying the market with Iranian oil and gas, which will reflect positively on International dealing with the Syrian crisis, and with the developments of the situation in Iraq towards stability as well, will affect the balance of power in the Arab Gulf region and the Middle East in general and change the map of alliances therein. Most likely, the agreement will not mean in any way that America or Iran will give up its interests and areas of influence in Iraq, as much as it is a process of agreement on the distribution of areas of influence in it, like a "new Sykes-Picot" with Iraq as its center.