الدور التركي في سوريا بعد سقوط نظام الاسد: دراسة في الفرص والتحديات

The fall of the Assad regime represents a pivotal turning point that has fundamentally reshaped the geopolitical landscape of the Middle East. Within this new context, Turkey emerges as one of the most prominent regional actors, leveraging its long border with Syria and its sustained political and military involvement since 2011. This study aims to explore Turkey’s prospective role in post-regime Syria by analyzing the complex dynamics shaping its foreign policy.

Drawing on the descriptive-analytical approach and framed within the neoclassical realist theory, the study examines the political, security, and economic opportunities and challenges that define Turkey’s strategic orientation. On one hand, Turkey seeks to capitalize on several strategic opportunities, such as supporting the formation of a friendly Syrian government, resolving the Kurdish issue in line with its national security vision, and establishing a safe zone to facilitate the return of refugees. On the other hand, Ankara faces multiple challenges, including internal conflicts among Syrian factions, the uncertain fate of the Kurdish self-administered regions, and regional as well as international rivalries that constrain its influence.

This study thus seeks to provide a comprehensive understanding of the key factors shaping Turkey’s future policy in Syria and to assess their potential implications for regional security and stability.